Journal of China in Global and Comparative Perspectives
Volume 4, 2018
Abstract: Demographic evolution and the resultant changes in energy consumption patterns have significant implications for carbon emissions in China and India. This paper reviews the evidence on the interrelationship between demographic changes, energy use and emissions for the two countries and finds urbanization and changes in household energy consumption to have a significant effect on emissions. However, national climate policies in China and India do not appear to have taken explicit note of the interrelationship and its effects. Pointing out that climate policies in both countries are still evolving, the paper argues for greater policy emphasis on residential and household consumption patterns as opposed to the present focus on energy use by industry. It further argues that de-linking energy intensity from carbon intensity is likely to be difficult for both countries, as cheaper prices of carbon-intensive fuels such as coal can discourage households, particularly low-income urban families, from substituting them with more expensive cleaner fuels.
Keywords: climate change, demography, urbanization, emission, energy intensity, coal, China, India